forecasting

Peter Schwartz & personalised futures methodologies

Future Implications: Is the future still the four box model?

Future Implications: Is the future still the four box model?

Peter Schwartz, co-founder of the GBN and a key advocate for scenario planning recently wrote in Wired about how to apply the methods of scenario planning normally applied in a …

/ No comments

Peter Schwartz & personalised futures methodologies

Future Implications: Is the future still the four box model?

Future Implications: Is the future still the four box model?

Peter Schwartz, co-founder of the GBN and a key advocate for scenario planning recently wrote in Wired about how to apply the methods of scenario planning normally applied in a …

/ No comments

Google uses crowdsourcing method to predict flu epidemic

  • SAN FRANCISCO — There is a new common symptom of the flu, in addition to the usual aches, coughs, fevers and sore throats. Turns out a lot of ailing Americans enter phrases like
/ One Comment

Google uses crowdsourcing method to predict flu epidemic

  • SAN FRANCISCO — There is a new common symptom of the flu, in addition to the usual aches, coughs, fevers and sore throats. Turns out a lot of ailing Americans enter phrases like
/ One Comment

Identifying the voter

pb_vote_f1

Identifying The Voter

Catalist is a privately financed large-scale political data-mining shop and has documented the political activity of every American 18 and older: where they registered to vote, how strongly they identify with a given party, what issues cause …

/ No comments

Identifying the voter

pb_vote_f1

Identifying The Voter

Catalist is a privately financed large-scale political data-mining shop and has documented the political activity of every American 18 and older: where they registered to vote, how strongly they identify with a given party, what issues cause …

/ No comments

High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos

High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos was an ace bbc4 doc that was on last week and shown at just the right time in amidst the economic MELTDOWN that is all around us!! David Malone has put together a film …

/ No comments

High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos

High Anxieties: The Mathematics of Chaos was an ace bbc4 doc that was on last week and shown at just the right time in amidst the economic MELTDOWN that is all around us!! David Malone has put together a film …

/ No comments

The Fourth Quadrant: A map of the limits of statistics by Nassim Taleb

RANDOM WALK

RANDOM WALK

“Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge; statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely anecdotal; it is the “logic of science”; it is the instrument of risk-taking; it is the

/ No comments

The Fourth Quadrant: A map of the limits of statistics by Nassim Taleb

RANDOM WALK

RANDOM WALK

“Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge; statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely anecdotal; it is the “logic of science”; it is the instrument of risk-taking; it is the

/ No comments

Your Risk of Death Chart

Your Risk of Death

From the Jounal of the National Cancer Institute:

“To make sense of the disease risks they face, people need basic facts about the magnitude of a particular risk and how one risk compares with other risks. …

/ No comments

Your Risk of Death Chart

Your Risk of Death

From the Jounal of the National Cancer Institute:

“To make sense of the disease risks they face, people need basic facts about the magnitude of a particular risk and how one risk compares with other risks. …

/ No comments

The World Database of Happiness

World Database of Happiness: A Continuous register of scientific research on subjective appreciation of life” is being created by Ruut Veenhoven at the Erasmus University Rotterdam

It collects all the available information about what makes people happy and …

/ One Comment

The World Database of Happiness

World Database of Happiness: A Continuous register of scientific research on subjective appreciation of life” is being created by Ruut Veenhoven at the Erasmus University Rotterdam

It collects all the available information about what makes people happy and …

/ One Comment